What is the average return of index funds over 30 years?
Over the past 30 years, the S&P 500 index has delivered a compound average annual growth rate of 10.7% per year. Data source: Slickcharts.com.
Stock Market Average Yearly Return for the Last 30 Years
The average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 10.22% over the last 30 years, as of the end of February 2024. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 30-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 7.5%.
Average Market Return for the Last 30 Years
Looking at the S&P 500 for the years 1993 to mid-2023, the average stock market return for the last 30 years is 9.90% (7.22% when adjusted for inflation).
That's why many investors, especially beginners, find index funds to be superior investments to individual stocks. Attractive returns: Like all stocks, major indexes will fluctuate. But over time indexes have made solid returns, such as the S&P 500's long-term record of about 10 percent annually.
Over the past decade, you would have done even better, as the S&P 500 posted an average annual return of a whopping 12.68%. Here's how much your account balance would be now if you were invested over the past 10 years: $1,000 would grow to $3,300. $5,000 would grow to $16,498.
In 1980, had you invested a mere $1,000 in what went on to become the top-performing stock of S&P 500, then you would be sitting on a cool $1.2 million today.
According to Standard and Poor's, the average annualized return of the S&P index, which later became the S&P 500, from 1926 to 2020 was 10%. 1 At 10%, you could double your initial investment every seven years (72 divided by 10).
The S&P 500 returned 345% over the last two decades, compounding at 7.7% annually. But with dividends reinvested, the S&P 500 delivered a total return of 546% over the same period, compounding at 9.8% annually. Investors can get direct, inexpensive exposure to the index with a fund like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF.
Average Stock Market Return Over the Last 30 Years
Since 1983, it has yielded 4,198%, and in the last decade, it gained 299%. The Nasdaq has an average annualized return of 10.4% for the past 30 years.
| Period | Average annualised return | Total return |
|---|---|---|
| Last year | 30.7% | 30.7% |
| Last 5 years | 15.9% | 109.5% |
| Last 10 years | 15.7% | 331.4% |
| Last 20 years | 10.8% | 682.2% |
Can you live off index fund returns?
The short answer is a resounding yes. Let's take a look at why this is. While past investment performance doesn't guarantee future results, the return of S&P 500 index funds has been about 9% to 10% annualized per year over long periods, depending on the exact timeframe you're looking at.
Ideally, you should stay invested in equity index funds for the long run, i.e., at least 7 years. That is because investing in any equity instrument for the short-term is fraught with risks. And as we saw, the chances of getting positive returns improve when you give time to your investments.
- Stocks.
- Real Estate.
- Private Credit.
- Junk Bonds.
- Index Funds.
- Buying a Business.
- High-End Art or Other Collectables.
| Discount Rate | Present Value | Future Value |
|---|---|---|
| 6% | $1,000 | $3,207.14 |
| 7% | $1,000 | $3,869.68 |
| 8% | $1,000 | $4,660.96 |
| 9% | $1,000 | $5,604.41 |
Meaning my $10,000 investment would now be worth $15,900. Now, if I'd bought into the pioneering EV producer five years ago, and held them through the 2022 retrace and the 2023 rebound, I would have seen those Tesla shares gain a stellar 756%. That would see my $10,000 investment balloon into $85,600.
Investing $1,000 a month for 20 years would leave you with around $687,306. The specific amount you end up with depends on your returns -- the S&P 500 has averaged 10% returns over the last 50 years. The more you invest (and the earlier), the more you can take advantage of compound growth.
The result is the number of years, approximately, it'll take for your money to double. For example, if an investment scheme promises an 8% annual compounded rate of return, it will take approximately nine years (72 / 8 = 9) to double the invested money.
The one time it's okay to choose a single investment
That's because your investment gives you access to the broad stock market. Meanwhile, if you only invest in S&P 500 ETFs, you won't beat the broad market. Rather, you can expect your portfolio's performance to be in line with that of the broad market.
Basic Info. S&P 500 10 Year Return is at 180.6%, compared to 174.1% last month and 161.9% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 114.4%.
However, if the stock falls 7% or more below the entry, it triggers the 7% sell rule. It is time to exit the position before it does further damage. That way, investors can still be in the game for future opportunities by preserving capital. The deeper a stock falls, the harder it is to get back to break-even.
Is a 7% return realistic?
While quite a few personal finance pundits have suggested that a stock investor can expect a 12% annual return, when you incorporate the impact of volatility and inflation, 7% is a more accurate historical estimate for an aggressive investor (someone primarily invested in stocks), and 5% would be more appropriate for ...
- Stocks and ETFs.
- Work with a financial advisor.
- Real estate.
- Mutual funds.
- Use a robo-advisor.
- Invest in a business.
- Alternative investments.
- Fixed-income investments.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.22%) has been reaching new heights, soaring by a whopping 41% from its lowest point in October 2022. This can be an exciting time for investors, many of whom have watched their portfolios plummet in value over the past several years.
1. Nvidia (NVDA) Nvidia is one of the best performing stocks of all-time and has richly rewarded shareholders over the past decade. Nvidia initially rose to prominence for its chips used for video-game graphics, but its business has boomed recently thanks to the rise of artificial intelligence.
For a point of reference, the S&P 500 has a historical average annual total return of about 10%, not accounting for inflation. This doesn't mean you can expect 10% growth every year; you could experience a gain one year and a loss the next.
